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Prospects of China’s Agricultural * Development
Wei Houkai and Han Lei
Rural Development Institute, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing, China
Abstract: Remarkable achievements have been made in China’s agricultural development
since the late 1970s. Nevertheless, deep-rooted problems are arising from inefficient farming
practices. From mid- and long-term perspectives, migration of China’s agricultural labor
will slow and large-scale operation of farmland will accelerate. Although grain supply
and demand have maintained a tight balance, new potentials still exist in improving grain
production. Under the pressures of resource and environmental constraints, advancing the
green and efficient transition of agriculture will become a new trend in China’s agricultural
development. In this context, the treatment of agricultural pollution, supply-side structural
reform and innovation of agricultural subsidy policy are of strategic significance to the
transition and upgrade of China’s agriculture.
Keywords: agricultural development, mid- and long-term prospects, supply-side
structural reforms, transition and upgrade
JEL classification: Q10, Q16, Q17
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