Determinants of U.S. Anti-Dumping Actions against Chinese Products:A Study Based on Analysis of Case-Involved and Extended Samples *

Shen Guobing
Institute of World Economy, School of Economics, Fudan University, Shanghai, China

Abstract: Is the revealed comparative advantage (RCA) the curse to Chinese products suffering from U.S. anti-dumping (AD) actions? This paper carries out studies by sampling 97 products involved in U.S. AD cases against China and 395 kinds of ten digit products uninvolved in cases. The findings are that: (1) Statistical analysis of case involved samples indicates that the U.S. AD actions against China mostly focus on Chinese products possessing strong RCA in the U.S. market; inflicted by U.S. AD actions,35 case-involved Chinese products still maintain strong RCA, whereas 27 ones lose the advantage in the U.S. market. (2) After extending the samples by introducing 395 kinds of products uninvolved in AD cases, two estimation methods verify that the impacts of all factors influencing the probability of U.S. AD actions against China become smaller,showing that the bias in selecting samples is avoided. Relatively, the U.S. trade deficit with China accrued through Chinese products is the most important determinant and the direct reason for the award of industry injury and the issuing of AD orders by the U.S.International Trade Commission (ITC). RCA is only one of the influencing factors but notthe curse to Chinese products suffering from U.S. AD actions. Other influencing factors include slower industrial production growth and rising unemployment in the U.S. The U.S.subprime mortgage crisis is another important influencing factor.
Key words: revealed comparative advantage, Chinese products, U.S. anti-dumping

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