Will China Stop Halfway on the Road to Industrialization?

HE Zuoxiu

Physicist and member of Chinese Academy of Sciences
Abstract:

Based on the data published by authorities in People’s Daily, to meet the domestic primary energy need of 4.4bn tons of standard coal in 2020, the energy elasticity coefficient should be unreasonably low. We therefore question the
reasonableness of this scenario thus designed and instead propose different scenarios and estimate the possible energy demands needed for the whole country’s industrialization and sustainable development. We point out that to meet the future energy consumption target of drawing 15 percent of energy from renewable sources and reducing carbon dioxide emissions by 40 to 45 percent from 2005 levels, we must focus on developing renewable energy like solar, wind and biomass energy, etc.

Key words:

Industrialization of China, carbon dioxide emissions, energy elasticity coefficient, renewable energy

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