Evolution of China’s Import Structure from 2000 to 2014

Wei Hao (魏浩)  
School of Economics and Business Administration, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China  
Abstract: This paper creates a new analytical framework for analyzing the international  
trade structure, estimates the changes in China’s import structure, and conducts a  
comparative analysis with 18 countries. This paper’s findings are as follows: (1) Between  
2000 and 2014, China’s import structure underwent fundamental changes, with a significant  
rise in the share of non-agricultural primary commodities and high-tech products in China’s  
total imports. The overall technology level in China’s imports decreased at first before  
keeping on the rise since 2007. (2) High-tech products always represent the highest share  
of around 20% in the world import market. However, the share of high-tech products in  
China’s imports did not meet the world average level until 2012. (3) Developing countries  
account for less than 25% of China’s imports except for agricultural primary commodities.  
Developed countries have always accounted for more than 50% of China’s total imports of  
medium-high-tech, high-tech and ultra-high-tech products.  
Kstreuycwtuorerds: index of technology sophistication, elbow method, k-means algorithm, import  
JEL Classification Codes: F14, F41, O53  
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